2011 NFL Week Seven Fantasy Football – Diamonds and Not So Rough

Now it’s time to move on to lucky Week 7 of the Diamonds and Not So Rough column. Once again I struggled with my Diamonds in Week 6 as only one of my
picks hit the 15 point mark, while once again all five of My Not So Rough players
scored under 20 points.

Week 5 Diamonds (20% wins):

  • James Jones had the TD catch I expected, but on his only catch of the game. He totaled just 10 points.
  • Greg Olsen five catches, 42 yards and a paltry 9.2 points.
  • Colt McCoy was my only hit at 22.20 and his stats were awfully close to what I predicted.
  • Michael Crabtree 9 catches for 77 yards and a TD away from making me a winner. 12.20 points was not quite enough.
  • Shonn Greene pitiful Monday night performance resulted in 7.95 points.

Week 5 Not So Rough (100% wins):

  • Brandon Marshall I said 5 for 60 and he wound up with 6 catches for 109 yards. Take out his fluke 46 yard catch and I’m pretty much right on the mark. Either way his 13.90 points made me a winner.
  • Reggie Wayne Predicted 5 for 75 and he was even worse and 5 for 58 for 8.30 points. An easy winner this week.
  • Maurice Jones-Drew I predicted 100 total yards and no TDs or 10 points. He checked in with 104 total yards and no TDs. Add in 2 catches and he had a pedestrian 10.90 points.
  • Arian Foster was even worse than I expected with 49 rushing yards and 52 receiving yards on 6 catches. No TDs led to a 11.60 week and a win for me.
  • DeSean Jackson 3 catches for 46 yards underwhelmed all of us as he was even under my lowly prediction of 4 catches for 80 yards and a TD.

As a reminder, the scoring system I will use to grade my performance is this:

  • All touchdowns 6 points
  • .04 point per yard passing
  • .1 per yard for rushing/receiving,
  • points per receptions > .25 RB/.50 WR/1.00 all others;
  • -1 per interception
  • -3 for interception return for TDs (also known as pick sixes).

Also to remind the readers for the Diamonds I’m looking for a 60% success ratio and I’m looking for the same 60% for the Not So Rough players. A Diamond must score at least 15 points in the scoring system listed above while a Not So Rough player must score under 20 to be considered a success.

Now it’s time to look at the Week 7 Diamonds:

Greg Little WR Cleveland – Breakout week coming against Seattle this week. Little had a good game against Oakland even with his stumbling out of bounds at the ½ inch line after making a wide open catch. No worries this week as he does scores a TD and adds 8 catches for 100 yards or 20 points.

Antonio Brown WR Pittsburgh – I know I’ve been touting this guy since last year, but you know what? He finally gets his dream matchup against the Arizona Cardinals secondary. He’ll have 2 long grabs with one going for a TD. 4 catches 130 yards and a score. 21 points is on the agenda for the week.

Curtis Painter QB Indianapolis – My reason for liking Painter this week is simple, I’m feeling a blowout in the Bayou and a lot of throws from Painter. 300 yards, 2 TDs and a couple of INTs are in store for Painter this week. 22 points from him and I’ll be a winner.

Brandon Marshall WR Miami – I’m flipping my perspective on Marshall this week for two reasons despite the fact that Matt Moore remains the QB. I know he’ll see a lot of Champ Bailey, but I still like the matchup and he’s playing against the team that traded him. Similar stat line to last week but add in a TD. 6 catches for 101 yards and a TD which is good enough for 19.1 points.

Kellen Winslow TE Tampa Bay – I’m looking for the silent Soldier to light up the Bears defense this week for 5 catches, 88 yards and 2 TDs. 25.8 points makes me a winner this week with Jr.

Now for the Not So Roughs:

Jason Witten TE Dallas – Usually I ignore points allowed by position stats but I watched the Rams totally shut down Finley of the Packers last week and the Ravens shut down Daniels of the Texans. So what you say? Well those two teams were 1 and 2 in points allowed to TEs. So this week I’ll buy into that theory and give Witten 4 catches for 60 yards and a TD. That 16 point performance makes me a winner.

Shonn Greene RB New York Jets – Another reversal on my part, this time to the underperforming side. The Chargers are good against the run and LT is lurking to beat up on his old team. Greene may smell paydirt, but even with a TD he will be lucky to break 15 points at best.

Matt Ryan QB Atlanta – The Falcons will take a lesson from the 49ers and realize the best way to beat the Lions is on the ground (see Frank Gore Week 6). They will also take a lesson from themselves and see they play better when the run first, pass second. Ryan will have his moments this week but it will add up to 250 yards, 2 TD and 3 INTs. That’s only 19 points in our scoring system.

Chris Johnson RB Tennessee – Many are expecting CJ2K to break out against the Texans defense, especially since he had the BYE week to get himself right. Not this week my faithful readers, as CJ2K becomes CJL (L being Roman for 50). 50 yards rushing, 50 yards receiving (including a long TD reception) bring CJ in 18 points (with his catches).

Vincent Jackson WR San Diego – Good Afternoon Vincent, welcome to the Tropical Island called Revis Island. Please enjoy your stay and your 3 catches for 60 yards and a TD. Those 13.5 points will be nice, but also low enough to make me a winner with you this week.

 

2011 NFL Week Six Fantasy Football – Diamonds and Not So Rough

It’s time for Week 6 edition of my
Diamonds and Not So Rough column. Looking back at Week 5 it was not a good week
for my Diamonds, but a great week for my Not So Rough players. Only one of my
Diamonds hit the 15 point mark, while all five of My Not So Rough players
scored under 20 points.

Week 5 Diamonds (20% wins):

  • Willis McGahee a near miss at 14.50 points
  • Greg Olsen only had 11.10 points
  • Mark Sanchez was my only hit at 18.64 points
  • Julio Jones was injured but before the injury only managed 3.8 points
  • Mario Manningham came in at a lowly and disappointing 8.10 points

Week 5 Not So Rough (100% wins):

  • Cedric Benson was held to 5.30 points so that was an easy pick
  • Stevie Johnson only checked in at 5.40 points so another easy winner
  • Maurice Jones-Drew did score a TD but was held to 14.50 points
  • Brandon Lloyd had a great catch but it was his only one as he had 2.50 points
  • Beanie Wells had a TD, but only 12.00 points

As a reminder, the scoring system I will use to grade my performance is this:

  • All touchdowns 6 points
  • .04 point per yard passing
  • .1 per yard for rushing/receiving,
  • points per receptions > .25 RB/.50 WR/1.00 all others;
  • -1 per interception
  • -3 for interception return for TDs (also known as pick sixes).

Also to remind the readers for the Diamonds I’m looking for a 60% success ratio and I’m looking for the same 60% for the Not So Rough players. A Diamond must score at least 15 points in the scoring system listed above while a Not So Rough player must score under 20 to be considered a success.

So without further adieu here are my Week 6 picks for Diamonds:

James Jones WR Green Bay Packers – He had a breakout game last week against the Falcons defense and this week he has the juicy Rams secondary on
the menu to keep it rolling. 6 catches for 120 yards and a TD or 21 points.

Greg Olsen TE Carolina Panthers – Yes I will give him another chance this week against a Falcons secondary that can be torched by a read hot Cam Newton. 5 catches for 90 yards and a TD or 20 points.

Colt McCoy QB Cleveland Browns – Again, I’m not saying to bench Aaron Rodgers for him but if you have BYE week QB blues start him confidently against a weak Raiders secondary. Sure the Raiders will be fired up for the Al Davis home game tribute but it won’t stop McCoy from throwing for 250 yards and 2 TDs or 22 points plus another 30 yards or 3 points for rushing the ball.

Michael Crabtree WR San Francisco 49ers – A name I even despise typing, but he is matched up with the Lions secondary and fellow WR Josh Morgan is on Injured Reserve. The Lions may blow out the 49ers this week meaning Alex Smith may have to throw, throw and throw again. 5 catches, 88 yards and a garbage time TD or 17.30 points.

Shonn Greene RB New York Jets – Greene showed signs of life last weekagainst New England and I look for him to keep it rolling Monday night against the Dolphins defense. I see another 120 total yards, 3 catches and a rushing TD. In our scoring system that breaks down to 18.75 points.

Now for the Not So Roughs:

Brandon Marshall WR Miami Dolphins – People will rate him highly coming off the BYE week but he has two things going against him this week – he faces Revis Island coverage and he has Matt Moore at QB. Here is a quarter, call Steve Smith of
the Panthers and ask him how well his career took off with Matt Moore at QB. 5 catches for 60 yards and no scores or 8.50 points.

Reggie Wayne WR Indianapolis Colts – Wayneis not going to enjoy his matchup with the Bengals secondary this week plus QB Curtis Painter seems to only have eyes for WR Pierre Garcon. 5 catches for 75 yards with no scores or 10.00 points in our scoring system.

Maurice Jones-Drew RB Jacksonville Jaguars – Not it’s not that I don’t like MJD, it’s just that he is matched against an improving Steelers defense. Look for him to post similar numbers to last week. 100 total yards, but this time without the TD. 10 points puts him on this list.

Arian Foster RB Houston Texans – Yes, Foster has bounced back nicely from the hamstring problems but this week it’s the very tough Ravens defense and not the Raiders. I still see Foster rushing for 70 and catching passes for another 30. Adding in a TD gets him close to 20 but with 4 catches he’s in at 17 which is less that our goal of 20 this week.

DeSean Jackson WR Philadelphia Eagles – Jackson had a very nice Week 5 against the Bills, but the Redskins defense is better against the pass than the Bills. DeSean ripped the Redskins apart last year, but not in this game. The Redskins
have had a week to prepare for Jackson and prepared they will be. 4 catches 80 yards and a TD or 16 points.