CFB Week 02 “Seven Out”

Yup, that’s right Colin is expanding his enterprises to College FB this year. Each week I will make seven College football picks, called “Seven Out” or in craps terms, “Damn, I just wiped the table of chips by sevening out”, of course, if I had a sizable bet on the “Don’t Pass Line” I would be winner in the above described scenario. So what’s that mean? Well, even though Colin Wynner, “calls the winners”, this is my first venture into the land of 20-year old, coddled athletes, and yeah, it’s big difference, therefore, choose to follow, fade or avoid wisely.

Central Florida @ Ohio State (-17, O/U 50) – Urban Meyer made his triumphant return to the college game last week with a convincing win over the might Miami (Ohio) Redhawks. Coach Meyer proclaimed after the game that starting quarterback Braxton Miller “Braxton Miller is dynamic, he’s the most dynamic athlete I’ve ever coached at quarterback.” Uh Ok, those are strong words considering Meyer has coached Tim Tebow, Cam Newton and Alex Smith. But whatever, I guess he feels like he needs to build Miller’s confidence, either that or Urban is like a high school girl where every new boyfriend “is the best boyfriend ever”. While UCF is at a disadvantage because isn’t much tape on the “new” Buckeyes yet, this team is no joke and can compete with the Buckeyes. The Bucks should expect that the Knights will continue fighting for four quarters with some serious NFL-caliber offensive talent. That should put this game well over a reasonable total of 50.

Play: Over 50.0

North Carolina State (-3.0, O/U 48.5) @ Connecticut – This line seems a little low to me, as my numbers had the Wolfpack as a 6 point favorite. I will take the three bonus points in a game that amounts to slightly more than a pick-em and pray against overtime!

Play: NC State -3.0

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Troy State (-2.0, O/U 62) – Payback game for the Trojan men as Troy State lost 31-17 to ULLAF last season. In a game that is essentially a pick, I will take the home team with payback incentive.

Play: Troy -2.0

Duke @ Stanford (-16.5, O/U 55.5) – This is the classic “over-reaction” game based on the results from a week ago. Heavily favored Stanford struggled to a mere three point win against San Jose State while Duke blasted Florida International as a three point favorite. I have this game at Stanford -22, but the panicky public has forced this line into value on the Cardinal.

Play: Stanford -16.5

Wisconsin (-6.5, O/U 49.5) @ Oregon State – These aren’t the Russell Wilson Badgers! Throw in that I believe OSU will be a surprise team in the Pac-12 this season and we might be looking at an upset in Corvallis. Trust me, that juicy 6.5 line will be part of just about every teaser bet this weekend, so let’s call this game the “teaser killer”.

Play: Oregon State +6.5

Nebraska (-5.0, O/U 62) @ UCLA – Neither defense was impressive in their respective opener, but talk about an over-reaction, 62 points, really? The Blackshirts defense did look better in the second half last week against a moderately talented Southern Miss team. I expect they will make a noticeable improvement this week. In addition, let’s not go all Winston Wolf on 1. Taylor Martinez; 2. The Husker offense; and 3. UCLA, in general. This game looks like a 24-17, translation easy under.

Play: Under 62.0

Florida @ Texas A&M (Pick, O/U 49.5) – This is now an SEC battle between a one of the newcomers and traditional SEC power. This matchup features contrasting styles, with A&M running the spread and Florida a more traditional pistol offense. While one cannot discount the speed advantage the Gators have on defense, you have to figure that the looks A&M will be confusing for the Gators and you know what neutralizes speed – confusion! I expect the Gators will take a couple games against the former BIG 12 teams spread offenses to become effective against them. For that reason I give the Aggies a fair shot at winning this game, but it we are talking about the Aggies, so the smart money is on them finding a way to blow this game. While I don’t trust either side, I figure they’re will be points a plenty in this game.

Play: Over 49.5

 

 

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