2011 NFL Week Eight Fantasy Football – Diamonds and Not So Rough

It’s time for Week 8 edition of my Diamonds and Not So Rough column. Looking back at Week 7 it was not a good week for my Diamonds, but a great week for my Not So Rough players. None of my Diamonds hit the 15 point mark, while all five of My Not So Rough players scored under 20 points.

Week 7 Diamonds (00% wins) (2 for 15 since I started):

  • Greg Little checked in with 5 catches but for only 31 yards or 5.6 points.
  • Antonio Brown came close with 13.70 points with 7 catches for 102 yards.
  • Curtis Painter was so horrible I won’t even mention his score. Losing 62-7 does that to you.
  • Brandon Marshall did better against Revis than this week as he only had 9.10 points.
  • Kellen Winslow had 1 TD, but only 25 yards on 4 catches or 12.50 points.

Week 7 Not So Rough (100% wins) (15 for 15 since I started).

  • Jason Witten did score 14.50 points but that’s not 20 so a win for me.
  • Shonn Greene recorded only 11.95 points well under the needed 20.
  • Matt Ryan’s numbers were almost exactly what I predicted and his 18.92 points were not enough to topple the magic 20 points.
  • Chris Johnson made this predicting stuff look easy as his 6 points were well under the needed 20.
  • I warned of a Revis Island trip and it worked out even better than I thought. 1 catch for 15 yards or 2 points. Winner, winner chicken dinner.

As a reminder, the scoring system I will use to grade my performance is this:

  • All touchdowns 6 points
  • .04 point per yard passing
  • .1 per yard for rushing/receiving,
  • points per receptions > .25 RB/.50 WR/1.00 all others;
  • -1 per interception
  • -3 for interception return for TDs (also known as pick sixes).

 

Also to remind the readers for the Diamonds I’m looking for a 60% success ratio and I’m looking for the same 60% for the Not So Rough players. A Diamond must score at least 15 points in the scoring system listed above while a Not So Rough player must score under 20 to be considered a success.

So without further adieu here are my Week 8 picks for Diamonds:

Antonio Brown WR Pittsburgh Steelers

Last week we saw what this kid is capable of as the changing of the old guard (Hines Ward) to the new guard (Brown) began. Toss in a questionable status for Ward and a matchup with the porous Patriots secondary and that is point scoring music to my ears. He should match last week’s production with a TD mixed in for 19.70 points.

Fred Davis TE Washington Redskins

Three major facts work inDavis’ favor this week, his matchup with a weak Bills secondary, the fact his main nemesis Chris Cooley is now and IR and third WR Santana Moss is out with a broken hand. That leaves Davis and WR Jabar Gaffney as QB John Beck’s primary targets.Davisshould score and add 8 catches for 90 yards or 23 points for the week.

Tim Tebow QB Denver Broncos

With some our favorite fantasy QBs on bye this week, Tebow makes a good start against a Lions defense that is struggling and playing on the road. Sure Tebow will be sacked 5 or 6 times and he’ll make 15 bad throws and sure he’s not a pure NFL QB yet. As fantasy owners all we care about is stats and at the end of the day he’ll pass for 200, rush for 50 more and have 2 total TDs, Minus 2 interceptions for him still equals 23 points for him this week.

Jeremy Maclin WR Philadelphia Eagles

The Dallas defense plays better at home than on the road and this week they travel toPhiladelphiafor the Sunday night contest. I believe the Cowboys defense will focus on DeSean Jackson leaving Maclin to be QB Mike Vick’s favorite target this week. 6 catches, 102 yards and a TD equals 19.2 points this week.

Ryan Mathews RB San Diego Chargers

The Monday night spotlight will shine on last season’s most disappointing rookie and one of this year’s major surprises RB Ryan Mathews. He has a road matchup with the Chiefs defense that ranks 25th against the run. Mathews will do his damage on the ground and on passes. 150 total yards and a TD nets him 22 points as I’ll include 4 catches.

Now for the Not So Roughs:

Ryan Torain RB Washington Redskins

All week you will hear that Torain is a strong play given the year ending injuring to RB Tim Hightower, but don’t buy into the hype. First off it’s a Mike Shanahan running back and secondly it’s not a great match up with a Bills defense that plays better at home. Torain should crack the 80 yard mark with a TD, but that only equals 14 points.

Bernard Scott RB Cincinnati Bengals

With Cedrick Benson suspended for the week, Scott is everyone’s hot waiver pickup. Seattle’s run defense has been a lot better than expected (11th overall) and this week will be no different. Scott will be held to 60 total yards and a TD. 12 points keeps him below my 20 point target.

Ryan Fitzpatrick QB Buffalo Bills

Fitzpatrick is at home against the Washington Redskins, but the bad news is the Redskins are ranked 11th in pass defense. Fitzpatrick’s last two games have not been great and the trend will continue this week. 225 yards passing, 1 TD and 2 INTs equals 13 points this week.

Jimmy Graham TE New Orleans Saints

Graham has been the #1 TE in scoring so far and although the Rams defense is nothing to write home about, they do cover the TE well. Graham has already been facing extra coverage against him and when QB Drew Brees sees that this weekend he’ll look to spread the ball around more to his WRs and RBs Darren Sproles and Pierre Thomas. Graham still scores but 4 catches for 65 yards and a TD only equals 16.5 points which is below our magic 20 point barrier.

Vernon Davis TE San Francisco 49ers

Here is an interesting fact, his opponent this week the Cleveland Browns are 2nd in pass defense, but they are the 9th worst against the TE. That would normally be a good matchup to exploit, but I see the 49ers running the ball well andDavis not being able to take advantage of the Browns defense. 5 catches for 75 yards or 12.5 points.

One thought on “2011 NFL Week Eight Fantasy Football – Diamonds and Not So Rough

  1. “Ryan Torain RB Washington Redskins

    All week you will hear that Torain is a strong play given the year ending injuring to RB Tim Hightower, but don’t buy into the hype. First off it’s a Mike Shanahan running back and secondly it’s not a great match up with a Bills defense that plays better at home. Torain should crack the 80 yard mark with a TD, but that only equals 14 points.”

    This makes no sense at all. First, it isn’t a home game, it’s in Canada. There is zero home field advantage. Second, The Bills give up 5.1 yards per carry to RBs. Third, 80 yards and a score will probably make him a top 10 RB. The only observation you made that makes any sense at all is that Torain plays in Satan Shanahan’s offense.

    Sheesh, talk about a hair brained article.

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